Some say that meddling in Fantasy Football is the highest form of making predictions. If done thoroughly, a Fantasy manager is literally putting his money where his mouth is, except without the money, and without the mouth.
Chubby Alonso certainly takes pride in his team selections. He doesn’t just make predictions for the weekend’s fixtures, he lives them through his choices. In Sweat My Squad, Chubby Alonso previews the weekend’s actions by explaining his Fantasy picks. He invites you join him in joy and in agony, and to see how close he comes every week to being a real crystal baller.
Brad Guzan (Leicester City v Aston Villa)
The Aston Villa goalkeeper will walk into the King Power stadium hoping to clock his third clean sheet in a row. While Villa have been notoriously goal-shy this season – having memorably cancelled their Goal of the Month competition in October – Paul Lambert’s ambling side have conceded just 6 goals in their last 10 and come up against a Leicester side without Riyad Mahrez and Jeffrey Schlupp, two players who have been hugely influential in their recent run of form. It remains to be seen if the imminent signing of Andrej Kramaric for a club record fee can spur the inconsistent Leonardo Ulloa on. Otherwise, the Foxes appear to be short of inspiration going forward and ought not trouble an organised Villa defence, unless David Nugent would like to have a say again.
Kieran Trippier/ Charlie Austin (Burnley v QPR)
Paul Dyche’s persistence with the same XI throughout the Christmas period may have backfired, with Jason Shackell and Kevin Long leaving Burnley slightly thin at the back. Yet his side’s successes this season have come less from individual excellence than from a gutsy team effort. Kieran Trippier is a combination of both – his adventurous forays down the right are matched by his discipline at the back – and joins my Fantasy team this week in lieu of a kind set of fixtures over the next four games. There’s a decent chance he’ll come through with a clean sheet today, and you can just tell he’s bursting to match up to last season’s tally of 12 assists. With Ings and Barnes in good form, he just might.
On the flip side, I don’t harbour too high hopes for Charlie Austin, especially with QPR’s curiously miserable away form. But the rot must stop at some point, and in a match that might turn out to be a a bit of a dogfight, the bigger risk would be to rest the battle-born Charlie Austin.
Leighton Baines (Everton v Manchester City)
Despite Everton’s incredible run of bad form, I can’t shake off the expectation that a turn of fortune lurks around the next the corner. With Martinez-esque optimism, we await the return of last year’s Everton – the metronomic version that we all know and love – in the way that the world expects Dortmund to bounce back next week, or the next, or the next. That is also the way I relate to Leighton Baines, a man who Martinez sees as Everton’s Philip Lahm, “or better”. Everton’s best football over the past few seasons has come from them overloading the wings, a play that pivots on the wit of Baines (and Coleman) to make overlapping runs and quick passes. Against City, Baines comes up against Zabaleta – probably the best in the league at doing what Baines does best – and will likely be pegged back. I cling on to the hope that Baines may steal a cheeky goal from a penalty or set piece, but realistically we can expect another David Silva masterclass to calm all nerves over Yaya Toure’s absence.
Branislav Ivanovic/ Eden Hazard/ Diego Costa (Chelsea v Newcastle United)
Newcastle have perennially found a way to trouble Chelsea, but surely not under John Carver, and surely not this time. With the combative Chieck Tiote and the oddly auspicious Papiss Cisse away on AFCON duty, Newcastle are expected to roll over at Stamford Bridge, especially if Janmaat, Coloccini and the industrious Sissoko remain injured. Ivanovic’s clean sheet at the back should be assured, and with 10 of Chelsea’s 44 league goals coming from set pieces, there’s always a chance that he gets in amongst the goals. With his alarmingly good form, especially at home, Hazard is a shoo-in for captaincy and ought to enjoy his day out in the sun, just as much as I will enjoy watching him. I’m still not Costa’s biggest fan, but he’s a perfect fit in Mourinho’s system and today looks to bring that systematic win in which he ought to bag his routine goal.
Gylfi Sigurdsson / Andy Carroll (Swansea City v West Ham United)
The impending loss of Wilfred Bony will have made little difference to Garry Monk’s preparations this month. In Bafetimbi Gomis they have a player not too dissimilar to Bony himself, perhaps with a little less guile and genius, but will now certainly have the determination to make up for it. It is worth noting that both players average roughly a shot every 20 minutes, a stat that comes down to Swansea’s real attacking threats: Sigurdsson and his silky, underrated wingmen. I stand by Sigurdsson’s ability to create, whoever is in front of him; with Routledge and Dyer back to make the runs they do, he won’t be short of options.
Against West Ham though, Swansea face a team almost antithetical to their style of play. This season’s Hammers play with a reliable front two ahead of a narrow midfield set up that relies on a combination of pace, power and invention to release their marauding full-backs. This allow their strike duo to be a classic partnership, rather than a synergy of modern positions. Andy Carroll should benefit from such a system, and as the last of – and probably the best of – the English big men, will be a handful for Swansea’s organised but soft defence. Carroll has been identified by Monk as their main threat and rightly so; Carroll ought to score – not because he is big but because the team, together, are strong. It is a tough match to call, but I would expect goals.
Nacer Chadli (Crystal Palace v Tottenham Hotspur)
Nacer Chadli is a new addition to my Fantasy family, picked ahead of the affable Eriksen, whose goals appeared to me more of a combination of good fortune and great free kicks. Chadli on the other hand seems to have the greater knack for popping up at the right place, which some will say is all you need to be a prolific goalscorer (see: Frank Lampard).
A maturing Tottenham may be the last team Pardew wants to face in his first league game in charge – a team not big enough to get the team fired up, yet not small enough to properly outplay. Fans might point to the loss of Yannick Bolaise as an excuse, but I anticipate that his rising mercury may be approaching a plateau, and the undoubtedly gifted Wilf Zaha can step in as an able replacement. The bigger blow is the absence of captain Mile Jedinak, goalscorer in Australia’s 4-1 win last evening. His powerful partnership with Joe Ledley added steel to the Palace midfield, a foundation of every modern ship that hopes to set sail. This fixture might have come too soon for Pards.
Angel Di Maria (Manchester United v Southampton)
Angel Di Maria will make his first Premier League start in five weeks in a match preambled by the tales of Louis Van Gaal’s frosty relationship with Ronald Koeman and Manchester United’s empty injury table. He will be keen to mark his return: within ten minutes of being introduced at Aston Villa he was quick to seize the ball and launch three ill-advised shots at goal. But that is Di Maria and his confidence in his own ability; he will hope to be the difference in this tricky fixture and should speed off the blocks. If United follows suit and rob Southampton of the chance to set up shop, they’ll be in business, and Old Trafford will be buzzing once again.
Other Punts of Interest:
Philippe Coutinho (Sunderland v Liverpool)
This dull Sunderland side may look to add to the wounds but are unlikely to get very far. Adam Johnson and Conor Wickham will wait in the wings for the odd mistake at the back, but if Coutinho and Sterling can get on the ball often, Liverpool can make it seven home games without a win for the Black Cats. With Lallana out for the month, the little Brazilian has to start finding consistency in producing the kind of magic he knows he is capable of.
Gareth McAuley (West Brom v Hull City)
As shown at Palace last season, Tony Pulis is not a man who needs time to grind results, so his appointment as West Brom ought to see the stock of their defenders rise. Football can be a simple game if you really work at it, and Tony Pulis is famed for putting that fight in his players. Gareth McAuley never shies from one at corners and will fancy himself even at the opposition end. Still, West Brom’s soft underbelly could prove their undoing: without Youssuf Mulumbu, away on international duty, Pulis will need to find a way to reinvigorate the off-colour Claudio Yacob or risk going without a traditional ball-winner in midfield. Hull’s Tom Huddlestone will look to stamp his authority on his return from suspension and West Brom may be the ideal opponents for that.
Theo Walcott (Arsenal v Stoke City)
Perhaps a little pre-mature, but with Walcott (and Wenger) you almost never know. Even in a ten minute cameo he has proven capable of that one incisive breakaway, though the settling of Sanchez, Welbeck and the ever-improving Oxlade-Chamberlain into Arsenal ranks has quietly mitigated the absence of Walcott’s stunning pace. With the busy Santi Carzola also finally finding his Fantasy feet, it will be interesting to see how Wenger fits him and then Ozil back into the fold. When that day comes the biggest problem facing Fantasy managers will arise – which of Arsenal’s assets to hold? Stoke have habitually rolled over at the Emirates and against an Arsenal side who have lost just one of their last 27 at home, look to be the opportune opposition for Theo Walcott to start making his case, even if from the bench.